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Iraq had no WMD: The final verdict
Baghdad -
The comprehensive 15-month search for weapons of mass
destruction in Iraq has concluded that the only chemical or biological
agents that Saddam Hussein's regime was working on before last year's
invasion were small quantities of poisons, most likely for use in
assassinations.
A draft of the Iraq Survey Group's
final report circulating in Washington found no sign of the alleged
illegal stockpiles that the US and Britain presented as the
justification for going to war, nor did it find any evidence of
efforts to reconstitute Iraq's nuclear weapons programme.
It also appears to play down an
interim report which suggested there was evidence that Iraq was
developing "test amounts" of ricin for use in weapons. Instead, the
ISG report says in its conclusion that there was evidence to suggest
the Iraqi regime planned to restart its illegal weapons programmes if
UN sanctions were lifted.
Charles Duelfer, the head of the ISG,
has said he intends to deliver his final report by the end of the
month. It is likely to become a heated issue in the election campaign.
President George Bush now admits that
stockpiles have not been found in Iraq but claimed as recently as
Thursday that "Saddam Hussein had the capability of making weapons,
and he could have passed that capability on to the enemy".
The draft Duelfer report, according
to the New York Times, finds no evidence of a capability, but only of
an intention to rebuild that capability once the UN embargo had been
removed and Iraq was no longer the target of intense international
scrutiny.
The finding adds weight to Mr Bush's
assertions on the long-term danger posed by the former Iraqi leader,
but it also suggests that, contrary to the administration's claims,
diplomacy and containment were working prior to the invasion.
The draft report was handed to
British, US and Australian experts at a meeting in London earlier this
month, according to the New York Times. It largely confirms the
findings of Mr Duelfer's predecessor, David Kay, who concluded "we
were almost all wrong" in thinking Saddam had stockpiled weapons. The
Duelfer report goes into greater detail.
Mr
Kay's earlier findings mentioned the existence of a network of
laboratories run by the Iraqi intelligence service, and suggested that
the regime could be producing "test amounts" of chemical weapons and
researching the use of ricin in weapons.
Subsequent inspections of the
clandestine labs, under Mr Duelfer's leadership, found they were
capable of producing small quantities of lethal chemical and
biological agents, more useful for assassinations of individuals than
for inflicting mass casualties.
Mr
Duelfer, according to the draft, does not exclude the possibility that
some weapons materials could have been smuggled out of Iraq before the
war, a possibility raised by the administration and its supporters.
However, the report apparently produces no significant evidence to
support the claim. Nor does it find any evidence of any action by the
Saddam regime to convert dual-use industrial equipment to weapons
production.
"I think we know exactly how this is
going to play out," said Joseph Cirincione, a proliferation expert at
the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
"You'll see a very elaborate spin
operation. But there's not much new here from what the ISG reported
before," he said. "There are still no weapons, no production of
weapons and no programmes to begin the production of weapons. What
we're left with here is that Saddam Hussein might have had the desire
to rebuild the capability to build those weapons."
"Well, lots of people have desire for
these weapons. Lots of people have intent. But that's not what we went
to war for."
The motives for war, meanwhile, came
under fresh scrutiny last night as the Telegraph reported that Tony
Blair was warned in Foreign Office papers a year before the invasion
of the scale of dealing with a post-Saddam Iraq.
The Liberal Democrat foreign affairs
spokesman, Sir Menzies Campbell, said that if authenticated, the
papers "demonstrate that the government agreed with the Bush
administration on regime change in Iraq more than a year before
military action was taken".
Mr
Duelfer, who is reported to still be in Baghdad, did not respond to a
request for an interview on the question of WMD yesterday.
Earlier this year, he told the
Guardian that he expected his report would leave "some unanswered
questions". --
Guardian News
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