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Oil Uncertainty Fuels Debate On
Subsidy
By Ben Ng
Bandar Seri
Begawan - The uncertainty in global oil prices and how it
will affect Brunei Darussalam have prompted local entrepreneurs and
decision-makers to identify the scope of this uncertainty and the
implications of future oil prices in relation to other aspects of
the local economy.
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A talk was
held by Asia Inc Forum as part of the organization’s efforts
to facilitate discussions on the key issues which affect the
Brunei economy. Yesterday's talk was in partnership with
TOTAL, I ISBC and Alcoa.
The continuing rise in oil
prices has compounded Asian governments' economic woes at a
time of record inflation. For instance, Indonesia, a former
OPEC member, has since turned into a net oil importer with
fuel subsidies accounting for some 13 per cent of
Indonesia's 2008 budget.
In May this year,
Indonesian officials had to raise fuel prices by a whopping
30 per cent to prevent a budget crisis.
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India and Malaysia have
both increased prices of government-subsidized fuel,
which sparked anger and antigovernment protests.
Wealthier governments
are not excluded. |
Hong Kong does not currently have
fuel subsidies, but imposes high taxes on fuel to discourage people
from driving.
However, it is feeling pressure
from protesting truck and taxi drivers to lift the taxes. Present at
yesterday's talk was D Victor Shum from Purvin and Gertz Inc — an
international energy-consulting firm in Singapore — who shared his
views on the implications of future oil prices in relation to the
Brunei economy.
Overall, high fuel prices could
weaken domestic consumption in the Asia region, and when combined
with stronger local currencies, could drive up the price of exports.
If this happens, economic growth would most likely be slow for the
year.
To subsidize or not is a short-term
question and Asian governments know that the long term answer lies
in reducing dependence on fossil fuels.
Worldwide investment in clean
energy is estimated to have reached US$148 billion last year. But
very little of it has reached Asia due to the lack of government
support for renewable energy policies and legislation. --
Courtesy of Borneo Bulletin
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